Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 4.119545 4.416537 4.734872 5.103285 5.520231 5.980256 6.530093
2025-08-31 3.685949 4.102998 4.578936 5.169582 5.893581 6.766988 7.924650
2025-09-07 3.398416 3.872522 4.435578 5.167485 6.115903 7.337725 9.094432
2025-09-14 3.107624 3.596111 4.191872 4.991309 6.068876 7.526046 9.757830
2025-09-21 2.901342 3.400467 4.022882 4.881076 6.078484 7.770325 10.520958
2025-09-28 2.748240 3.257206 3.904490 4.819069 6.136407 8.076819 11.423499
2025-10-05 2.650612 3.176378 3.858252 4.845907 6.316236 8.580474 12.751538
2025-10-12 2.584058 3.130230 3.852381 4.924735 6.576163 9.241889 14.525263
2025-10-19 2.523538 3.087147 3.845689 4.998593 6.832495 9.933525 16.564623
2025-10-26 2.455596 3.029246 3.813111 5.028825 7.018981 10.530168 18.607121
2025-11-02 2.376245 2.950986 3.745976 4.999384 7.100629 10.944073 20.379803
2025-11-09 2.269118 2.828983 3.608966 4.850775 6.962550 10.911678 21.016249
2025-11-16 2.182204 2.735733 3.514797 4.772625 6.956495 11.176247 22.679349
2025-11-23 2.137456 2.700840 3.505429 4.831069 7.204132 12.022298 26.558583
2025-11-30 2.080898 2.645852 3.462126 4.829214 7.338809 12.652835 30.227215
2025-12-07 1.989704 2.536736 3.331113 4.671082 7.158424 12.526216 31.066205
2025-12-14 1.919027 2.455025 3.238395 4.571957 7.083238 12.639104 32.992727
2025-12-21 1.863432 2.393349 3.173610 4.516136 7.087459 12.948337 36.065818
2025-12-28 1.829948 2.363002 3.155879 4.540303 7.255204 13.712608 42.213081
2026-01-04 1.808857 2.350124 3.164629 4.611234 7.528136 14.834974 52.282077
2026-01-11 1.787815 2.336309 3.170877 4.677627 7.799920 16.044027 66.081026
2026-01-18 1.759743 2.310627 3.156528 4.704786 7.988314 17.067775 82.143343
2026-01-25 1.722481 2.269516 3.115096 4.678338 8.051095 17.711037 97.399837